Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 68.451839 77.211848 86.213422 96.123318 106.696297 117.610196 129.698471
2025-01-26 57.286302 70.090347 83.859974 99.642005 117.108155 135.733779 156.985819
2025-02-02 50.319708 65.432113 82.232309 102.034724 124.492255 148.946802 177.370407
2025-02-09 43.079226 59.463531 78.266002 101.008603 127.369571 156.601232 191.114747
2025-02-16 37.235826 54.439174 74.781607 99.971571 129.737257 163.265562 203.380335
2025-02-23 33.321554 51.327254 73.193090 100.822840 134.004009 171.864333 217.650474
2025-03-02 29.537863 48.000044 71.028340 100.706875 136.902380 178.703321 229.757529
2025-03-09 26.600881 45.489866 69.647433 101.344585 140.535774 186.276369 242.621374
2025-03-16 23.290231 42.171759 66.992487 100.188986 141.826616 190.952823 251.995674
2025-03-23 21.416098 40.674189 66.565872 101.726949 146.325782 199.387806 265.758686
2025-03-30 19.844770 39.466081 66.414710 103.531806 151.094999 208.111771 279.851405
2025-04-06 17.442046 36.811905 64.142959 102.448759 152.146984 212.263009 288.433576
2025-04-13 14.815467 33.589986 60.935262 100.030787 151.460778 214.292965 294.514890
2025-04-20 14.227225 33.553222 62.187534 103.556336 158.367970 225.672703 311.938129
2025-04-27 13.390142 33.025405 62.680073 106.017821 163.886262 235.334332 327.290255
2025-05-04 11.687046 30.865355 60.670865 104.965594 164.776857 239.201043 335.549356
2025-05-11 10.159162 28.836539 58.729612 103.904288 165.576194 242.896908 343.559203
2025-05-18 9.228632 27.790872 58.206889 104.775684 168.888148 249.730835 355.425344
2025-05-25 8.169585 26.377295 57.031127 104.656982 170.838403 254.816147 365.117466
2025-06-01 7.365319 25.367546 56.426486 105.309766 173.791111 261.159149 376.367881
2025-06-08 6.295612 23.663714 54.609069 104.126822 174.209579 264.227653 383.514386
2025-06-15 5.807002 23.143833 54.688980 105.701150 178.363433 272.088368 396.664321
2025-06-22 5.400611 22.757753 54.963653 107.548408 182.886591 280.431441 410.437019